Publications
2025
- Demir, K. T., Mathis, M., Kossack, J., Liu, F., Daewel, U., Stegert, C., Thomas, H., and Schrum, C. (2025): Variable organic matter stoichiometry enhances the biological drawdown of CO2 in the northwest European shelf seas, Biogeosciences, 22, 2569–2599, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-2569-2025
- Dunkl, I., Bastos, A., and Ilyina, T. (2025): Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO2, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 151–167, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-151-2025
- Filippou, D., Li, H., and Ilyina, T. (2025): Ocean Compound Extreme Events Under Emission Reduction and Negative CO2 Pathways, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-1719, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-1719
- Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Li, H., Luijkx, I. T., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Arneth, A., Arora, V., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Berghoff, C. F., Bittig, H. C., Bopp, L., Cadule, P., Campbell, K., Chamberlain, M. A., Chandra, N., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Colligan, T., Decayeux, J., Djeutchouang, L. M., Dou, X., Duran Rojas, C., Enyo, K., Evans, W., Fay, A. R., Feely, R. A., Ford, D. J., Foster, A., Gasser, T., Gehlen, M., Gkritzalis, T., Grassi, G., Gregor, L., Gruber, N., Gürses, Ö., Harris, I., Hefner, M., Heinke, J., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Jacobson, A. R., Jain, A. K., Jarníková, T., Jersild, A., Jiang, F., Jin, Z., Kato, E., Keeling, R. F., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Lan, X., Lauvset, S. K., Lefèvre, N., Liu, Z., Liu, J., Ma, L., Maksyutov, S., Marland, G., Mayot, N., McGuire, P. C., Metzl, N., Monacci, N. M., Morgan, E. J., Nakaoka, S.-I., Neill, C., Niwa, Y., Nützel, T., Olivier, L., Ono, T., Palmer, P. I., Pierrot, D., Qin, Z., Resplandy, L., Roobaert, A., Rosan, T. M., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Smallman, T. L., Smith, S. M., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Steinhoff, T., Sun, Q., Sutton, A. J., Séférian, R., Takao, S., Tatebe, H., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Torres, O., Tourigny, E., Tsujino, H., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G., Wanninkhof, R., Wang, X., Yang, D., Yang, X., Yu, Z., Yuan, W., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., and Zeng, J. (2025): Global Carbon Budget 2024, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 965–1039, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-965-2025
- Guo, S., Havermann, F., De Hertog, S. J., Luo, F., Manola, I., Raddatz, T., Li, H., Thiery, W., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Wårlind, D., Nieradzik, L., and Pongratz, J. (2025): Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 631–666, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-631-2025
- Holt, J., A. Katavouta, J. Hopkins, L.O. Amoudry, C.M. Appendini, L. Arneborg, A. Arnold, Y. Artioli, J. Aucan, B. Berx, L. Cagigal, M. De Dominicis, C. Denamiel, G. Galli, J. A. Graham, Z. Jacobs, S. Jevrejeva, B. Kamranzad, C. Langlais, M.A.D. Larsen, A. Lira-Loarca, C. Lyddon, M. Mathis, A. Melet, F. Méndez, S. Muis, P. Myers, M. O’Donovan, A.I. Olbert, M.D. Palmer, L. Phillips, J. Polton, M.P. Buil, P. Robins, A. Ruju, J.A. Schlaefer, A. Senatore, S. Siedlecki, J. Tinker, G. Verri, I. Vilibić, X. Wei, N. Pinardi (2025): Future climate projections in the global coastal ocean. Progress in Oceanography 235, 103497. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103497
- Krishna S., Lemmen C., Örey S., Rehren J., Pane J. D., Mathis M., Püts M., Hokamp S., Pradhan H. K., Hasenbein M., Scheffran J. and Wirtz K. W. (2025): Interactive effects of multiple stressors in coastal ecosystems. Front. Mar. Sci. 11:1481734. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1481734
- Li, H., Ramme, L., Li, C., and Ilyina, T. (2025): Asymmetric carbon-climate responses to cumulative emissions under different CO2 pathways, EGU General Assembly 2025, Vienna, Austria, 27 Apr–2 May 2025, EGU25-16501, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16501
2024
- Ilyina, T., Li, H., Ramme, L., and Li, C.: Unfolding responses in the global ocean and land carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 to changing emissions with the large ensemble future projections with interactive carbon cycle., EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19854, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19854, 2
- Jones, C. G., Adloff, F., Booth, B. B. B., Cox, P. M., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Frieler, K., Hewitt, H. T., Jeffery, H. A., Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, B. N., O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M. J., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., Somot, S., Vidale, P. L., van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M., Bentsen, M., Bernardello, R., Betts, R., Blockley, E., Boé, J., Bracegirdle, T., Braconnot, P., Brovkin, V., Buontempo, C., Doblas-Reyes, F., Donat, M., Epicoco, I., Falloon, P., Fiore, S., Frölicher, T., Fučkar, N. S., Gidden, M. J., Goessling, H. F., Graversen, R. G., Gualdi, S., Gutiérrez, J. M., Ilyina, T., Jacob, D., Jones, C. D., Juckes, M., Kendon, E., Kjellström, E., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., Mizielinski, M., Nassisi, P., Obersteiner, M., Regnier, P., Roehrig, R., Salas y Mélia, D., Schleussner, C.-F., Schulz, M., Scoccimarro, E., Terray, L., Thiemann, H., Wood, R. A., Yang, S., and Zaehle, S. (2024): Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy, Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1319–1351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- Li, H., Ilyina, T., Dunkl, I., Spring, A., Brune, S., Müller, W. A., Bernardello, R., Bopp, L., Friedlingstein, P., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., O'Sullivan, M., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Tourigny, E., and Watanabe, M. (2024): Advancements and Challenges in Assessing and Predicting the Global Carbon Cycle Variations Using Earth System Models, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-16456, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-16456
- Liu, B., Maerz, J., & Ilyina, T. (2024). Glacial Atlantic carbon storage enhanced by a shallow AMOC and marine aggregates sinking. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109736. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109736
- Mathis, M., Lacroix, F., Stefan Hagemann, Nielsen, D., Ilyina, T., Schrum, C. (2024): Enhanced CO2 uptake of the coastal ocean is dominated by biological carbon fixation, Nature Climate Change, 14, 373-379, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-01956-w
- Meinshausen, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Beyer, K., Bodeker, G., Boucher, O., Canadell, J. G., Daniel, J. S., Diongue-Niang, A., Driouech, F., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Grose, M., Hansen, G., Hausfather, Z., Ilyina, T., Kikstra, J. S., Kimutai, J., King, A., Lee, J.-Y., Lennard, C., Lissner, T., Nauels, A., Peters, G. P., Pirani, A., Plattner, G.-K., Pörtner, H., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Roy, J., Samset, B. H., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., Seneviratne, S., Smith, C. J., Szopa, S., Thomas, A., Urge-Vorsatz, D., Velders, G. J. M., Yokohata, T., Ziehn, T., Nicholls, Z. (2024): A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs), accepted in Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 4533-4559, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024 | Highlight paper
- Nielsen, D.M., Chegini, F., Maerz, J., Brune, S., Dobrynin, M., Baehr, J., Brovkin, V., Ilyina, T. (2024): Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion, Nature Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02074-3
- Ramme, L., Ilyina, T., Marotzke, J. (2024): Moderate greenhouse climate and rapid carbonate formation after Marinoan snowball Earth, Nature Communications, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47873-6, 15, 3571
- Resplandy, L., A. Hogikyan, J. D. Müller, R. G. Najjar, H. W. Bange, D. Bianchi, T. Weber, W.-J. Cai, S. C. Doney, K. Fennel, M. Gehlen, J. Hauck, F. Lacroix, P. Landschützer, C. Le Quéré, A. Roobaert, J. Schwinger, S. Berthet, L. Bopp, T. T. T. Chau, M. Dai, N. Gruber, T. Ilyina, A. Kock, M. Manizza, Z. Lachkar, G. G. Laruelle, E. Liao, I. D. Lima, C. Nissen, C. Rödenbeck, R. Séférian, K. Toyama, H. Tsujino, P. Regnier (2024): A Synthesis of Global Coastal Ocean Greenhouse Gas Fluxes, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GB007803 38, e2023GB007803
- Sanderson, B. M., Brovkin, V., Fisher, R., Hohn, D., Ilyina, T., Jones, C., Koenigk, T., Koven, C., Li, H., Lawrence, D., Lawrence, P., Liddicoat, S., Macdougall, A., Mengis, N., Nicholls, Z., O'Rourke, E., Romanou, A., Sandstad, M., Schwinger, J., Seferian, R., Sentman, L., Simpson, I., Smith, C., Steinert, N., Swann, A., Tjiputra, J., and Ziehn, T. (2024): flat10MIP: An emissions-driven experiment to diagnose the climate response to positive, zero, and negative CO2 emissions, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3356